Prediction Market Quantitative Engineer

About G20 Group

The G-20 Group is a pioneer in Quantitative Trading systems in cross-asset markets. Headquartered in Switzerland, we operate at the intersection of Quantitative Research, Software Engineering and Trading. The team combines a startup mindset with extensive experience in proprietary Trading, Technology and Quantitative Finance.

Role Overview

We are hiring a Prediction Market Quant Engineer to build research and trading infrastructure for operating in prediction markets (event contracts) across multiple venues. You will design models that estimate event probabilities, detect mispricing, size positions, and manage risk – then translate them into reliable systems that run end-to-end (data → forecasting → execution → monitoring).

This role sits at the intersection of quant research, engineering, and market microstructure, and is ideal for someone who enjoys shipping robust systems as much as developing models.

Responsibilities

Modeling & Research

• Develop probabilistic models to forecast outcomes of real-world events (e.g., elections, macro releases, sports, policy decisions, industry milestones).
• Combine heterogeneous signals (time series, text / news, market data, polling / alternative data, fundamentals, expert priors) into calibrated probability estimates.
• Build pricing and edge frameworks : fair value, uncertainty bands, expected value, and model drift / regime diagnostics.
• Design evaluation methods (proper scoring rules like log loss / Brier score, calibration curves, back-tests with realistic costs and constraints).

Trading & Market Design (Applied)

Engineering & Production

Collaboration & Governance

Requirements

Preferred / Desirable Experience

Tech Stack

Deadline for application : Jan 4, 2025

Locations and Right to work : This role will be based in our Zurich, London, New York or Hong Kong office. Only candidates who possess the pre-existing right to work in one of the locations above without company sponsorship need apply.

Join G-20 and be a part of a team that is at the forefront of financial markets, driving innovation and excellence in the sector.